Posts Tagged ‘Trump’
Trump the anti Intellectual yet idiot

Amazon opens in Australia, moves to tax foreign packages go into hyper-drive. Quelle surprise, big business always wants to impede competition. It’s the easiest way to lock in fat profits. They legally bribe politicians and regulators with donations and post public service sinecures.

You need to extend patent or copyright induced monopolies? No problem. You want to do it in other countries? Well, have we got a treaty for you.

Milton Friedman stood up for the consumer and against big business and government:

“There’s a common misconception that people who are in favor of a free market are also in favor of everything that big business does. Nothing could be further from the truth.”

In this he followed in the footsteps of Adam Smith:

“People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices.”

Few modern economists, policy makers and politicians do. All too often they impose the same harmful policies. Our establishment class, be it of the “left” or “right” are cognitively captured. Their blinkered mindset and arrogance make them Taleb’s Intellectual Yet Idiot.

“These self-described members of the “intelligentsia” can’t find a coconut in Coconut Island, meaning they aren’t intelligent enough to define intelligence hence fall into circularities — but their main skill is capacity to pass exams written by people like them. With psychology papers replicating less than 40%, dietary advice reversing after 30 years of fatphobia, macroeconomic analysis working worse than astrology, the appointment of Bernanke who was less than clueless of the risks, and pharmaceutical trials replicating at best only 1/3 of the time, people are perfectly entitled to rely on their own ancestral instinct and listen to their grandmothers (or Montaigne and such filtered classical knowledge) with a better track record than these policymaking goons.

Indeed one can see that these academico-bureaucrats who feel entitled to run our lives aren’t even rigorous, whether in medical statistics or policymaking. They can’t tell science from scientism — in fact in their image-oriented minds scientism looks more scientific than real science. (For instance it is trivial to show the following: much of what the Cass-Sunstein-Richard Thaler types — those who want to “nudge” us into some behavior — much of what they would classify as “rational” or “irrational” (or some such categories indicating deviation from a desired or prescribed protocol) comes from their misunderstanding of probability theory and cosmetic use of first-order models.) They are also prone to mistake the ensemble for the linear aggregation of its components” Taleb, The Intellectual Yet Idiot, “…/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577

Is it really any wonder that Trump was able to run rings around them? He bested what Republicans claimed was the most talented field ever. He then defeated the Democrat candidate in the face of fierce media, academic and public servant opposition. “Intellectual yet idiot” Trump is not. The world needs more like him, so we can reform peacefully rather than through revolutionary rivers of blood.

To do or to be


Boyd nailed why our politicians tend to be useless:

You are at a point in your life where you have to make a choice about what kind of person you are going to be. There are two career paths in front of you, and you have to choose which path you will follow. One path leads to promotions, titles, and positions of distinction. To achieve success down that path, you have to conduct yourself a certain way. You must go along with the system and show that you are a better team player than your competitors. The other path leads to doing things that are truly significant for the Air Force, but the rewards will quite often be a kick in the stomach because you may have to cross swords with the party line on occasion. You can’t go down both paths, you have to choose. So, do you want to be a man of distinction or do you want to do things that really influence the shape of the Air Force? To be or to do, that is the question. Source: Grant Hammond, The Mind of War: John Boyd and American Security.

They’ve opted to be somebody, rather than to do something. There are exceptions. Sometimes after a successful career “doing something” they plump for public service. Arguably Trump fits this mold. Then there are those driven by ego. Their ego may or may not be the enemy to them, but it certainly is for us. In my opinion Turnbull fits into this category. He’s there for ego purposes, not to improve our lives.

Politicians such as Australia’s Cory Bernardi who leave the safe confines of a major party to strike it out alone have opted to do something. In trying to do something they may also become someone. But they have definitely foregone the comfortable safe rout of a cabinet ministry, for the opportunity to do something.

Western politicians have been able to get by as do nothing (good) elected members on the back of their forebears. As Adam Smith said, there’s a lot of ruin in a nation. They’ve been ruining their nation. They’ve eroded the ethical and cultural base which built and is necessary to maintain our wealth. They’ve also often allowed the physical infrastructure to erode. Indeed the very fabric of their nation states has been eroded with the creation of “no go areas“:

The British capital is named alongside cities such as Paris, Stockholm and Berlin as home to ‘more than 900’ areas where the authorities have ‘little or no control’.

The problem is that much of the West has been living off its cultural and physical capital. It’s starting to run on empty. South Australia can’t even provide reliable energy to its industry and citizens.

All this while citizens and governments become increasingly indebted. Yet the so called “intelligentsia” can’t understand why establishment parties and candidates are on the nose.

As they say, something which can’t continue forever, will not. Cultural phase shifts, like so much else, occur much slower than expected and then happen much quicker than anyone can believe. Have we reached our tipping point? The mainstream media will not tell you. Neither will the shadow banning twitter. Political correctness is having its fangs drawn, but they can still hide much of the festering mess they have created behind the curtain of continuity.

Trump Saves Lives

U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump gives a thumbs up at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio, U.S. July 21, 2016. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst - RTSJ4OK

Trump’s election may save lives. Many lives. The decline in white life expectancy in the US under Obama has been truly shocking. American optimism has been strangled in politically correct causes and government imposts. People no longer believe that life will get better, that their children’s future is likely to be better than their own. Holocaust survivor, Viktor Frankl, in his memoirs, makes clear the consequences:

“With his loss of belief in the future, he also lost his spiritual hold; he let himself decline and became subject to mental and physical decay.”

Little wonder then that first male and then female life expectancy fell.  Obama may have passed Obamacare. But if he cared for people, he would have pursued different policies.

A vote for Trump was a vote for change. He is not beholden to the establishment. He is not wedded to past policies. He is committed to improving the lives of Americans. He has energized poor Americans and got them to vote for him. This instillation of confidence could arrest the decline in life expectancy. It could start saving lives. If the establishment thwart him, as the “progressive” rioters appear to be trying they will have blood on their hands. The blood may be hard to see, but it will be there nonetheless. It will be a statistical fact. The progressives ought to be ashamed of themselves. They have a lot to answer for.

Fear is a great persuader. Progressive use fear to make us accept changing our way of life. This progressive pessimism will have other consequences. It undermines our belief in the future. Depression, suicide and premature death are its handmaidens. Who knows what our average life expectancy would be, with our excellent sanitation, food and medical care. But the destruction of the spiritual sphere means we will never know.

Little wonder that the European “progressive” paradises are dying countries. They are truly unsustainable. Not through their resource use, but through their failure to procreate. They will either change or be changed. The mass immigration and lack of assimilation are nature’s way of forcing change. Nature abhors a vacuum. A people less Europe will not be. This will change:

“A total fertility rate of around 2.1 live births per woman is considered to be the replacement level in developed countries…  In 2014, the total fertility rate in the EU-28 was 1.58 live births per woman.”