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Category: Originals
A nation of wimps

Stress a source of strength:

A Nation of Wimps: Parents are going to ludicrous lengths to take the bumps out of life for their children. However, parental hyperconcern has the net effect of making kids more fragile; that may be why they’re breaking down in record numbers.

Nassim Taleb’s antifragility strikes again:

Fragile things break under stress. But, according to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, there’s an entire class of other things that don’t simply resist stress but actually grow, strengthen, or otherwise gain from unforeseen and otherwise unwelcome stimuli. Taleb sees degrees of antifragility everywhere, from fasting, mythology, and urban planning to economic, technological, cultural, and biological systems.

A 20 min Nassim Nicholas Taleb youtube discussion is worth listening to here

Antifragility highlights yet again how we tend to create that which we most fear. In trying to protect our children from harm now, we cause them harm later. Preventing short term harm can cause long term problems. Unfortunately short run gains are often readily apparent, while the long term harm is hidden. Keynesian economics is the classic example, as is the welfare state.

The purported goal of the welfare state, to help people, is noble. But once a society creates a welfare state its people have different expectations about their possible futures. They therefore make different choices and their behavior changes. This changes people, and the society which they in aggregate form. Over time it changes the values their children grow up with. People and society fundamentally diverge from what would have eventuated absent the welfare state. At the individual level this is epitomized by the saying:

Watch your thoughts; they become words.
Watch your words; they become actions.
Watch your actions; they become habit.
Watch your habits; they become character.
Watch your character; it becomes your destiny

Thus a strong sovereign people and vigorous society can be transformed into something far weaker and more fragile. Truly the road to hell is paved with good intentions.

 
Boston left lies

The left have a habit of taking over institutions and perverting them. It’s Orwellian news speak “Cold is warm. Peaceful is violent. We’ve always been at war with Eastasia” applied to institutions:

Legacy media speculation that the Boston bombing was the work of the tea party fits this mold.  The legacy media have long succumbed:

This despite the fact that the Tea Party does not just protest peacefully, but tend to leave the protest areas cleaner than when they arrived:

Tea Party participants are the bedrock of bourgeois society. Inheritors and holders of values which were the core creators of wealth and well-being in the world today. No wonder the the left demonizes them. Until they are undermined the left will not be able to fully impose their violent dis-empowering policies. Something we should all be grateful for:

We will not even go to global warming and the destructive lefty policies applied in that area. Granny killers. Spreaders of misery and impoverishment. Global warming vested interests have got fat on the cold and misery of the poor. They deserve nothing but contempt. And their willing enablers should hang their heads in shame, recant and be less gullible in future. More is at stake than most realize.

As for the banksters. Useful tools? Who cares, the consequences of policies transferring our wealth to them will be dire for almost all:

Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, Governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity (or fairness) of the existing distribution of wealth.

As the inflation proceeds and the real value of the currency fluctuates wildly from month to month, all permanent relations between debtors and creditors, which form the ultimate foundation of capitalism, become so utterly disordered as to be almost meaningless; and the process of wealth-getting degenerates into a gamble and a lottery.

Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of Society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.

Click here for a discussion on the source of the quote:

It’s time to see the truth and face the future in freedom and with love. Orwell wrote 1984 as a warning, not a how to manual. We can make use of it for its intended purpose.

 
Money, Finance & Parasitoids

We examined the parasitoid nature of much of our privileged elite here. This post does the same for much of the financial sector. Money quotes being:

Here, instead, is the fable we’ve been offered: Sad as it might be for some workers, towns, cities, and regions, the end of industry is the unfortunate, yet necessary, prelude to a happier future pioneered by “financial engineers.” Equipped with the mathematical and technological know-how that can turn money into more money (while bypassing the messiness of producing anything), they are our new wizards of prosperity!

Unfortunately, this uplifting tale rests on a categorical misapprehension. The ascendancy of high finance didn’t just replace an industrial heartland in the process of being gutted; it initiated that gutting and then lived off it, particularly during its formative decades. The FIRE sector, that is, not only supplanted industry, but grew at its expense — and at the expense of the high wages it used to pay and the capital that used to flow into it.

and

For more than a quarter of a century the fastest growing part of the economy has been the finance, insurance, and real estate (FIRE) sector. Between 1980 and 2005, profits in the financial sector increased by 800 percent, more than three times the growth in non-financial sectors.

In those years, new creations of financial ingenuity, rare or never seen before, bred like rabbits. In the early 1990s, for example, there were a couple of hundred hedge funds; by 2007, 10,000 of them… Fifty thousand mortgage brokerages employed 400,000 brokers, more than the whole U.S. textile industry. A hedge fund manager put it bluntly, “The money that’s made from manufacturing stuff is a pittance in comparison to the amount of money made from shuffling money around.”

Wealth comes from production, not its taxation – by government or the financial sector. If money printing dilutes the existing stock of money in relation to goods, effectively “taxing” and devaluing existing money, then the creation of credit money by the financial sector has the same effect. If one is bad, then so is the other. Government might be a poor allocator of capital, but aggregating ever more resources to the financial sector is just as destructive.

The fact the finance can pay so well implies that its rampant growth may be even more damaging than that of government. Finance is more likely to attract the truly talented, who ought to be founding new Microsoft’s, Apples, Fords or curing cancer. Some of them are more likely to pursue such a socially beneficial path if the other option is to become a bureaucrat rather than a stinking rich financier.

Of course the rampant growth of the financial sector is facilitated by the blurring of money with different types of assets. This is an inevitable function of the lived experience of people during a period in the economic cycle. Those who live a different experience during a different part of the economic cycle form a different view. During depressions and crashes the true value of real “money” shines forth. Assets that appeared to be money, even ones as “safe as houses” become worth less, or even worthless.

Those who have recently lived through deflation are likely to instinctively hoard their fiat currency and behave quite differently to those who have recently experienced hyperinflation. Ditto for those with other “lived” experience. “Never a lender or borrower be” can seem obvious or stupid, depending on where people sit in the economic cycle.

Truly to know where we are going and how people and markets are likely to behave it is necessary to know where we have come from. Most economic and financial commentary completely ignores this. Is it any wonder it is so often wrong?