Evidence for premonitions
Evidence for premonitions

Daryl Bem has a fascinating paper reporting experimental findings suggesting people have psychic abilities and are able to sense and react to future stimuli, before the stimuli are decided on i.e. the causal relationship in time is reversed.

“This article reports 9 experiments, involving more than 1,000 participants, that test for retroactive influence by “time-reversing” well-established psychological effects so that the individual’s responses are obtained before the putatively causal stimulus events occur. Data are presented for 4 time-reversed effects: precognitive approach to erotic stimuli and precognitive avoidance of negative stimuli; retroactive priming; retroactive habituation; and retroactive facilitation of recall. The mean effect size (d) in psi performance across all 9 experiments was 0.22, and all but one of them yielded statistically significant results. The individual-difference variable of stimulus seeking, a component of extraversion, was significantly correlated with psi performance in 5 of the experiments, with participants who scored above the midpoint on a scale of stimulus seeking achieving a mean effect size of 0.43”.

Chances are that this is explained by Ioannidis in Why Most Published Research Findings are False:

“There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance. Simulations show that for most study designs and settings, it is more likely for a research claim to be false than true. Moreover, for many current scientific fields, claimed research findings may often be simply accurate measures of the prevailing bias. In this essay, I discuss the implications of these problems for the conduct and interpretation of research”.

But having just read:

“Social scientists are well aware of the pitfalls of modelling and the risk of reaching false conclusions. Two variables can appear to be causally related and yet, in fact, be both related to a third factor and be simply fellow travellers responding in lockstep to that third factor. In that case, the causal relation may appear to be robust when it is in fact non-existent.”.


Chances are there is more to reality than our consciousness is able to understand. Perhaps this includes the nature of time and the apparent direction of cause and effect.

Perhaps I owe the Sydney Morning Herald an appology for writing:

Lefty fantasy journalism

Lefty fantasy journalism strikes again, and we are not talking Philip Adams imagining life in a parallel universe this time. The Sydney Morning Herald claims Howard’s diplomatic faux pas in deciding to attend the Indonesian President’s inauguration has set off a chain reaction amongst regional countries, as they too now scramble to find someone to attend.

“The best evidence suggesting the Australian Prime Minister invited himself to an event heads of state have never traditionally attended”

Those few who bother reading to the end of the 460 word article will find the last 40 contradict what has gone before:

“Malaysia’s Prime Minister, Abdullah Badawi, was the first foreign leader to make it known he would come, but it was Mr Howard’s decision hours later that has caused Indonesia’s neighbours to respond. A spokesman for Mr Howard declined to comment”

Gosh, perhaps it was the Malaysian Prime Minister’s decision to attend which set off the stampede of attendees? With the Howard Government being quicker to respond than others, something it should be congratulated for.

But I forgot, in the Adams parallel universe cause and effect run in reverse. It was Howard’s decision to attend that caused the Malaysian PM to announce his attendance before Howard made his decision. Or perhaps there was a time hiccup or worm hole? After all, journalism this rotten must be full of worm holes.

Update: Howard has said:

“That stuff in the paper this morning was ridiculous”.

No not ridiculous, a calculated attempt to mislead readers and discredit the government. But in the Adams universe that is good journalism. No doubt Marr could not agree more.



79 Comments
  1. This piece of writing is truly a fastidious one it assists new the web users, who are wishing for blogging.
    http://educationhints.eu

  2. Hi there! This blog post could not be written any better! Looking at this post reminds me of my previous roommate! He constantly kept preaching about this. I’ll forward this information to him. Fairly certain he will have a great read. Thanks for sharing!
    http://goodtip.eu

  3. Good article! We will be linking to this particularly great article on our website. Keep up the good writing.
    http://healthhint.eu

  4. This is a topic that’s near to my heart… Cheers! Where are your contact details though?
    http://healthhints.eu

  5. bookmarked!!, I really like your website!
    http://goodtip.eu

  6. Having read this I believed it was really enlightening. I appreciate you taking the time and energy to put this content together. I once again find myself personally spending a lot of time both reading and posting comments. But so what, it was still worth it!
    http://schoolingtips.eu

  7. Excellent post. I will be experiencing many of these issues as well..
    http://studypoints.eu

  8. What’s up, every time i used to check webpage posts here in the early hours in the break of day, for the reason that i enjoy to gain knowledge of more and more.
    http://educlue.eu

  9. Magnificent beat ! I wish to apprentice whilst you amend your website, how could i subscribe for a weblog site? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I were a little bit familiar of this your broadcast provided bright transparent concept
    http://financehint.eu

  10. I love reading through a post that will make people think. Also, thanks for permitting me to comment!
    http://healthclue.eu

  11. I was suggested this web site by my cousin. I’m not sure whether this post is written by him as nobody else know such detailed about my difficulty. You are incredible! Thanks!
    http://healthhints.eu

  12. Thank you for every other magnificent post. Where else may anyone get that type of information in such a perfect approach of writing? I have a presentation subsequent week, and I am at the look for such info.
    http://goodtip.eu

  13. 436032 590468Hello fellow web master! I really enjoy your site! I liked the color of your sidebar. 903522

  14. 826371 193778You should join in a contest first of the greatest blogs on the web. I will recommend this web site! 605539

  15. Spot on with this write-up, I seriously feel this amazing site needs a lot more attention. I’ll probably be back again to read more, thanks for the information!
    http://schoolingtips.eu

  16. I always used to read post in news papers but now as I am a user of net thus from now I am using net for articles, thanks to web.
    http://studypoints.eu

  17. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any problems of plagorism or copyright violation? My website has a lot of unique content I’ve either written myself or outsourced but it appears a lot of it is popping it up all over the internet without my permission. Do you know any ways to help stop content from being ripped off? I’d truly appreciate it.
    http://financehints.eu

  18. 163403 3188Someone necessarily assist to make critically articles Id state. This really is the initial time I frequented your internet page and thus far? I amazed with the analysis you produced to make this actual submit incredible. Exceptional activity! 95786

  19. nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort nationwide home comfort

  20. 733667 714787Dead written articles , Genuinely enjoyed reading . 108186

  21. 361272 883032I genuinely enjoy your site, but Im having a difficulty: any time I load 1 of your post in Firefox, the center with the internet page is screwed up – which is bizarre. May possibly I send you a screenshot? In any event, maintain up the superior function; I undoubtedly like reading you. 945517

  22. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  23. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  24. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  25. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  26. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  27. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  28. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  29. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  30. No better a kook bigger than the internet from Furniture From Home, BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar, BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS, Richard Ellenbogen – Beverly Hills Body,LuxSauna, Alan Symons, park ward, nationwide home comfort, AGS Capital and kaonsoftware and the kind. Poggi, Michael Michael Poggi Poggi’s Animal House like.Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED as well. Furniture From Home Beverly Diamonds Elite Client Services – Private Client Management Group TRUSTED Mountain Business Center LLC, Rebecca Bextel

  31. BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS SFO probes US lender over missing millions Brockstar Finance

  32. BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS SFO probes US lender over missing millions Brockstar Finance

  33. http://www.reviewstalk.com/complaints-reviews/brockstar-by-brian-nelson-willis-l38106.html|BROCKSTAR BY BRIAN NELSON WILLIS|http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/Nationwide-Home-Comfort-/nationwide/Nationwide-Home-Comfort-RomanAnthonyshannanevins-Ryan-Conned-me-into-saying-I-was-getti-1264423|nationwide home comfort|http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/BRIAN-WILLIS-Brockstar/Newport-Coast-California/BRIAN-WILLIS-Brockstar-Brian-Nelson-Willis-Snizhana-Willis-Liia-Dedukh-Brockstar-Thie-1121960|BRIAN WILLIS Brockstar|http://www.ibj.com/articles/54321-executive-pleading-poverty-after-44m-judgment|Executive pleading poverty after $44M judgment|http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/AGS-Capital-Group-vs-AGS-Capital/Miami-Florida-46229/AGS-Capital-Group-vs-AGS-Capital-Allen-Silberstein-vs-Alan-Symons-Different-Funds-M-1096651|AGS Capital|

  34. I wish lace frontal https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ny8rUpI_98I this shade arrived while in the leather such as the choco does.

  35. Wow, thbis pkst iis fastidious, my younnger sister iis analyzing thesse
    kinds oof things, thus I amm going too convy her.
    Greetings! Very helpcul advic wirhin this post!
    It’s tthe litgtle chnges thst makke thee larfgest
    changes. Manyy thanks ffor sharing! I have beeen browsing ohline morfe thban 3 hours today,
    yyet I never found aany interesting article
    likie yours. It iss prett wrth enough foor me.
    Personally, if all webmasters andd bloggers mde goood cntent ass you did, the net will
    bee much more usefuul than evdr before. http://cspan.org

  36. Some improvements in the 2008 to the 2010 California
    Building Code’s following brief set is exclusive.

    Here is my web page … oceanside brewpub

  37. Completamente conforme en las urbes que planteáis y en la puntualización de
    Granada de Mune. http://www.amaraavatis.com/author/olivia35s0/

  38. Obrigado para outros informativo blog . Onde
    mais pode apenas Estou ficando que tipo de informação escrito em tal um perfeito forma?

    Eu tenho um desafio que Eu sou simplesmente agora funcionamento
    , e Tenho foi na relance fora para tal informações .

  39. Hey there I am so delighted I found your webpage, I really found you by mistake, while I was researching on Askjeeve for something else, Regardless I am here now and would just like to say thanks a lot for a fantastic post and a all round exciting blog (I also love the theme/design), I donít have time to read it all at the minute but I have saved it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read more, Please do keep up the excellent job.

  40. You really make it appear so easy along with your presentation however I find this matter to be actually one thing that I think I’d never understand. It kind of feels too complex and extremely wide for me. I am looking forward on your subsequent submit, I’ll attempt to get the dangle of it!

  41. Olá ! Você se importaria se eu compartilhar seu blog com meu twitter grupo?
    Há um monte de pessoal que eu acho que seria realmente apreciar seu conteúdo.
    Por favor me avise. Saúde

  42. Vai ser terminar do dia de minas, mas antes final estou lendo isso grande parte de
    escrita para aumentar meu sabe-como.

  43. Você é para interessante! Não faço acreditar Tenho
    verdadeiramente ler nada assim antes. Então bom para
    descobrir alguém com alguns original pensamentos sobre este tópico
    . Sério… Obrigado por este arranque. Este site
    é algo que é necessário na internet, alguém com um pouco originalidade!

  44. Amazing questões aqui. Eu sou muito feliz olhar seu
    post. Obrigado muito e Eu sou procurando em frente
    para toque você. Você será gentilmente mande-me um email?

  45. Eu sei isso se off-topic, mas eu estou olhando para começar minha própria weblog e foi
    curioso que tudo é necessário para obter configurar ?
    Acho que ter um blog como seu custaria uma fortuna. Eu não sou muito web esclarecido por isso não estou 100% positivo .

    Qualquer recomendações ou Conselho seria muito
    apreciado. Apreciá-lo

  46. Seu modo de explicando tudo neste pedaço de escrita é verdadeiramente
    agradável , cada um ser capaz de sem esforço sabe , muito obrigado.

  47. Obrigado por compartilhar seus pensamentos sobre % meta_keyword %.
    Cumprimentos

  48. Hey I am so happy I found your weblog, I really found you by error, while I was looking on Google for something else, Regardless I am here now and would just like to say thanks
    a lot for a marvelous post and a all round exciting blog (I also love the theme/design), I
    don’t have time to read it all at the moment but I
    have saved it and also added your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much more,
    Please do keep up the fantastic work.

    my website garcinia cambogia customer reviews

  49. I truly appreciate this post. I have been looking all over for this! Thank goodness I found it on Bing. You’ve made my day! Thanks again

  50. Keep working ,remarkable job!

  51. What’s Happening i’m new to this, I stumbled upon this I’ve found It positively helpful and it has helped me out loads. I hope to contribute & assist other users like its helped me. Good job.

  52. Olá companheiros , sua impressionante n. a respeito cultura e totalmente
    explicou , mantê-lo o tempo todo.

  53. It’s perfect time to make some plans for the future and it’s time to be happy. I have read this post and if I could I want to suggest you some attention-grabbing things or advice. Maybe you can write next articles referring to this article. I desire to read more issues about it!

  54. Olá, eu acho que vi você visitou meu blog assim vim “devolver o favor”.
    Eu sou tentando encontrar coisas para melhorar meu web site!

    Suponho que sua okey usar algumas das suas
    ideias!!!!

  55. Aw, this was a really nice post. In idea I would like to put in writing like this additionally – taking time and precise effort to make a very good article… however what can I say… I procrastinate alot and under no circumstances seem to get one thing done.

  56. Olá amigos , sua grande post sobre ensino e
    totalmente explicou , mantê-lo o tempo todo.

  57. Isso é muito interessante , és um excessivamente profissional blogger.
    Tenho juntou-se seu feed rss e sentar para na caça para
    extra de seu excelente postar. Também tenho compartilhou seu
    site na minha redes sociais

  58. You made some good points there. I did a search on the issue and found mainly folks will consent with your blog.

  59. I am frequently to blogging and i seriously appreciate your content material. The write-up has definitely peaks my interest. I am going to bookmark your site and maintain checking for new facts.

  60. Você realmente torná-lo aparecem tão fácil
    junto com seu apresentação mas eu encontrar isto importa ser na verdade
    algo que acho ia não entender. Parece também
    complexo e extremamente vasto para mim.
    Eu sou tendo um olhar frente em seu
    subsequentes submeter , Vou tentar se o se agarram
    disso!

  61. Tenho ler alguns boa coisas aqui. Certamente
    vale bookmarking para revisitar. Eu maravilha como muito tentativa você coloca
    para criar este tipo de magnífico informativo
    site.

  62. Se importa se eu citar um alguns de seu posts enquanto
    eu fornecer crédito e fontes de volta para seu weblog ?
    Meu site blog é no mesmo nicho como o seu e meu visitantes teria genuinamente
    beneficiar alguns do informações você fornecer aqui.
    Por favor me avise se este okey com você. Muito obrigado !

  63. Wow, marvelous blog layout! How long have you been blogging for?
    you made blogging look easy. The overall look of your site is
    excellent, let alone the content!

    My homepage … garcinia cambodia, Reinaldo,

  64. Thanks for the good writeup. It if truth be told was a leisure account it. Look complex to more added agreeable from you! However, how can we communicate?

  65. I’ll immediately take hold oof yoour rsss as
    I ccan not iin finding yyour e-mail subacription hperlink oor e-newsletter service.
    Do you’ve any? Pleqse let mme realkize inn ordfer tyat I coiuld subscribe.
    Thanks. I couldn’t resist commenting. Exceptionnally wll
    written! Whoa! Thiss boog llooks jjust like myy oold one!
    It’s onn a entirrly differenmt topicc butt it hhas pretyy mucch
    thhe saame layouyt andd design. Grreat chice off colors!
    http://foxnews.org

  66. I’m extremely inspired with your writing abilities as neatly as with the format on your weblog. Is this a paid topic or did you modify it yourself? Either way stay up the excellent high quality writing, it is uncommon to see a nice blog like this one these days..

  67. Confira um pequeno número de situações que a claridade da lanterna tatica lhe tenha como ser bem útil. http://www.think-energy.org/index.php/geothermalenergy/item/14-us-geothermal?count=1&ie=1%5Dbuy

  68. Confira um pequeno número de situações que a claridade da lanterna tatica lhe
    tenha como ser bem útil. http://www.think-energy.org/index.php/geothermalenergy/item/14-us-geothermal?count=1&ie=1%5Dbuy

  69. An interesting discussion is worth comment. I believe that you simply should write additional on this subject, it might not be a taboo topic but typically individuals aren’t sufficient to speak on such topics. Towards the next. Cheers

  70. Oh my goodness! a tremendous article dude. Thank you Nonetheless I am experiencing problem with ur rss . Don’t know why Unable to subscribe to it. Is there anybody getting equivalent rss drawback? Anyone who is aware of kindly respond. Thnkx

  71. My niche is in California although northern Colorado has Some issues in accordance together with the
    northern, but both have become ,very different areas.

    Also visit my blog post oceanside ca rv storage

  72. Hello, i think that i noticed you visited my website so i got here to “go back the want”.I’m trying to find issues to enhance my website!I guess its good enough to use a few of your ideas!!

  73. Somebody essentially help to make seriously articles I would state. This is the first time I frequented your web page and thus far? I amazed with the research you made to create this particular publish incredible. Wonderful job!

  74. What’s up to all, how is all, I think every one is getting more from this website, and your views are nice designed for
    new viewers.

  75. It’s genuinely very difficult in this full of activity life to listen news on Television, thus I only use the web for
    that reason, and take the newest news.

  76. My programmer is trying to convince me to move to .net from PHP.
    I have always disliked the idea because of the costs.
    But he’s tryiong none the less. I’ve been using WordPress on numerous websites for about a year and am nervous about switching
    to another platform. I have heard fantastic things about blogengine.net.

    Is there a way I can transfer all my wordpress content into it?
    Any help would be really appreciated! http://tolebituy.kz/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=72202

  77. Many thanks, I’ve just been seeking information about
    this topic for a while and yours is the best I’ve
    found until now.

    Review my website … guitar tuition

  78. Hello there! I could have sworn I’ve visited this website before
    but after going through some of the articles I realized it’s new to me.
    Regardless, I’m definitely delighted I stumbled upon it and
    I’ll be bookmarking it and checking back often! http://svijet360.com/?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=9088